Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.201250 0.232932 0.267953 0.309534 0.357566 0.411318 0.476057
2025-09-14 0.146413 0.187490 0.237609 0.303267 0.387063 0.490508 0.628067
2025-09-21 0.118133 0.162254 0.219900 0.300748 0.411309 0.557396 0.765465
2025-09-28 0.100765 0.146543 0.209790 0.303570 0.439255 0.628762 0.914237
2025-10-05 0.091446 0.139745 0.209780 0.318757 0.484322 0.726940 1.110611
2025-10-12 0.082828 0.132313 0.207240 0.328973 0.522180 0.817736 1.305892
2025-10-19 0.075279 0.125223 0.203890 0.336841 0.556445 0.905825 1.506255
2025-10-26 0.068017 0.117467 0.198256 0.339874 0.582604 0.983062 1.697063
2025-11-02 0.060639 0.108466 0.189323 0.335989 0.596220 1.040392 1.860079
2025-11-09 0.053208 0.098376 0.177241 0.324985 0.595820 1.073147 1.983100
2025-11-16 0.049583 0.094598 0.175638 0.332172 0.628141 1.165863 2.223032
2025-11-23 0.045635 0.089713 0.171412 0.333892 0.650303 1.242064 2.440167
2025-11-30 0.042389 0.085860 0.168814 0.338666 0.679321 1.335118 2.702403
2025-12-07 0.038128 0.079510 0.160750 0.331881 0.685093 1.384490 2.884968
2025-12-14 0.034819 0.074672 0.155073 0.329123 0.698412 1.449720 3.106501
2025-12-21 0.032460 0.071518 0.152415 0.332212 0.723981 1.542121 3.394769
2025-12-28 0.031563 0.071381 0.155972 0.348830 0.780011 1.703472 3.848927
2026-01-04 0.030236 0.070134 0.157006 0.360010 0.825333 1.846595 4.278972
2026-01-11 0.028800 0.068463 0.156914 0.368620 0.865776 1.983124 4.709347
2026-01-18 0.027086 0.065945 0.154642 0.371940 0.894382 2.095987 5.097415
2026-01-25 0.025004 0.062309 0.149407 0.367688 0.904668 2.167796 5.395874
2026-02-01 0.022621 0.057667 0.141315 0.355646 0.894830 2.191272 5.579217
2026-02-08 0.021662 0.056459 0.141321 0.363511 0.934799 2.338142 6.086145